Using artificial intelligence to manage extreme weather events
Can combining deep learning (DL)鈥� a subfield of artificial intelligence鈥� with social network analysis (SNA), make social media contributions about extreme weather events a useful tool for crisis managers, first responders and government scientists? An interdisciplinary team of 捆绑SM社区 researchers has brought these tools to the forefront in an effort to understand and manage extreme weather events.
The researchers found that by using a noise reduction mechanism, valuable information could be filtered from social media to better assess trouble spots and assess users鈥� reactions vis-脿-vis extreme weather events. The results of the study are published in the Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management.
Diving into a sea of information
鈥淲e reduced the noise by finding out who was being listened to, and which were authoritative sources,鈥� explains Renee Sieber, Associate Professor in 捆绑SM社区鈥檚 Department of Geography and lead author of this study. 鈥淭his ability is important because it is quite difficult to assess the validity of the information shared by Twitter users.鈥�
The team based their study on Twitter data from the March 2019 Nebraska floods in the United States, which caused over $1 billion in damage and widespread evacuations of residents. In total, over 1,200 tweets were analyzed and classified.
鈥淪ocial network analysis can identify where 鈥媝eople get their information during an extreme weather event. Deep learning allows us to better understand the content 鈥� of this information by classifying thousands of tweets into fixed categories, for example, 鈥榠nfrastructure and utilities damage鈥� or 鈥榮ympathy and emotional support鈥�,鈥� says Sieber. The researchers then introduced a two-tiered DL classification model 鈥� a first in terms of integrating these methods in a way that could be useful to crisis managers.
The study highlighted some issues regarding the use of social media analysis for this purpose, notably its failure to note that events are far more contextual than expected by labelled datasets, such as the CrisisNLP, and the lack of a universal language to categorize terms related to crisis management.
The preliminary exploration performed by the researchers also found that a celebrity call out was featured prominently 鈥� this was indeed the case for the 2019 Nebraska floods, where a tweet from pop singer Justin Timberlake was shared by a large number of users, though it did not prove to be of use for crisis managers.
鈥淥ur findings tell us that information content varies between different types of events, contrary to the belief that there is a universal language to categorize crisis management; this limits the use of labelled datasets on just a few types of events, as search terms may change from one event to another.鈥�
鈥淭he vast amount of social media data the public contributes about weather suggests it can provide critical information in crises, such as snowstorms, floods, and ice storms. We are currently exploring transferring this model to different types of weather crises and addressing the shortcomings of existing supervised approaches by combining these with other methods,鈥� says Sieber.
About this study
鈥溾�� by Renee Sieber and al. was published in the Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management.
This study was funded by Environment Canada.
About 捆绑SM社区
Founded in Montreal, Quebec, in 1821, 捆绑SM社区 is Canada鈥檚 top ranked medical doctoral university. 捆绑SM社区 is consistently ranked as one of the top universities, both nationally and internationally. It is a world-renowned institution of higher learning with research activities spanning two campuses, 11 faculties, 13 professional schools, 300 programs of study and over 40,000 students, including more than 10,200 graduate students. 捆绑SM社区 attracts students from over 150 countries around the world, its 12,800 international students making up 31% per cent of the student body. Over half of 捆绑SM社区 students claim a first language other than English, including approximately 19% of our students who say French is their mother tongue.
